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Midterms Threatened By Slightly Larger Than Usual Debt

Midterms Threatened By Slightly Larger Than Usual Debt

The federal budget deficit has risen to nearly $2 trillion for the past fiscal year, which is the largest annual deficit since 2021, and I’m sipping my coffee thinking, “Well, that’s just peachy.” The Treasury Department reported this on Friday, and I’m not surprised, but still, it’s a lot to take in. It’s like they say, “You can’t make this stuff up,” and I’m inclined to agree. The deficit was 12% higher than the prior year’s $1.78 trillion gap, which is a significant increase. I’m no economist, but even I know that’s not a good sign.

The reason for this massive deficit is multifaceted, but one major contributor is the net interest payments on the public debt, which topped $1 trillion for the first time. This is largely due to the nation’s skyrocketing debt levels and higher interest rates. It’s a bit like a snowball effect, where the debt just keeps growing and growing. The United States spent more on interest than on any category other than Social Security and Medicare, which is staggering. Somewhere in Atlanta, a producer thought this sounded terrifying, and I can see why.

The deficit also grew because the Trump administration had to issue refunds after the Supreme Court found that certain global tariffs it imposed violated federal law. The Treasury Department estimates that about $145 billion in tariff refunds was issued in the last fiscal year. It’s a bit of a mess, if you ask me. The economy is in relatively good shape, but the nation’s fiscal health has worsened in recent years, with neither Republicans nor Democrats on Capitol Hill willing to fully address the issue. It’s like they’re playing a game of fiscal chicken, and we’re all just waiting to see who blinks first.

Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, said in a statement, “Today’s deficit figures cap off a remarkably dismal year for our fiscal health… Fiscal discipline requires finding something both achievable and aggressive … Tough choices will be needed to get there, and we’re running out of time to make them.” I couldn’t agree more, Maya. It’s time for our lawmakers to get serious about the nation’s fiscal problems.

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The US debt hit a record $40 trillion in August, which is a grim milestone that will have consequences for Americans, businesses, and the government for years to come. The “big, beautiful bill” that President Donald Trump and congressional Republicans enacted last year is expected to add trillions more to the national debt over a decade, which is just mind-boggling. The nation’s growing financial woes, along with rising corporate debt supply and expectations for higher Federal Reserve interest rates, have sparked turmoil in bond markets in recent months. Investors are increasingly jittery, which has sent rates on US debt soaring.

With rising deficits, the government has to issue more bonds to fund its spending. Yields on bonds have soared this year as investors demand more compensation to hold US debt. That raises the government’s cost of borrowing, exacerbating concerns about the mounting debt burden. The average weighted interest rate of the debt outstanding was 3.53% at the end of the fiscal year, up from 3.36% at the end of the prior fiscal year, according to the Treasury Department. It’s a bit of a vicious cycle, and I’m not sure how we’re going to get out of it.

The deficit as a share of the nation’s economy was more than 6% in the last fiscal year, according to Treasury’s rough estimate. That’s more than twice Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s goal. The Republicans’ sweeping tax cuts are also starting to have an effect, with gross corporate tax revenue declining by $43 billion, or 9%. Although many businesses are raking in higher profits, this decline in tax revenue is contributing to the widening gap between revenue and spending. It’s a complex issue, and I’m not sure what the solution is, but I do know that something needs to be done.

Lawmakers will likely have another chance to address the nation’s fiscal problems next year, when the US is once again expected to hit the debt ceiling. I’m not holding my breath, but maybe, just maybe, they’ll get it together and make some tough choices. In conclusion, the federal budget deficit is a serious issue that needs to be addressed, and I’m not sure what the future holds, but I do know that I’ll be watching with bated breath, and probably drinking a lot of coffee. After all, as the saying goes, “When life gives you lemons, make lemonade,” but when life gives you a $2 trillion deficit, you just shake your head and wonder what’s next. 🤦‍♂️

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